With economic growth concerns mounting, fixed income investors need to consider shifting from low to high quality credit. More attractive valuations and less upward pressure on bond yields should make this transition more appealing.
Q1 2022 delivered the worst core bond performance since 1980. That weakness has extended into Q2—the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond index has now erased all gains since mid-2019.
Investors shouldn’t be entirely surprised. Historically tight spreads, low yields and inevitable monetary tightening from the Federal Reserve created daunting prospects for U.S. investment grade at the start of 2022. However, recent sharp moves have shifted the asset class’s outlook.
Credit markets haven’t been immune to market turmoil and will be further challenged as economic growth slows. With difficult days ahead, preparing fixed income portfolios with longer duration and higher quality exposures is advisable—at least now there’s some yield to go along with it.